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In-Depth Analysis· COP31 Türkiye climate diplomacy Zero Waste initiative

COP31 and Climate Diplomacy: Türkiye's Zero Waste Initiative and Hosting Role

How Türkiye's COP31 hosting role, Zero Waste initiative and 2053 net-zero target fit together: verified facts, stakeholder views and Ankara's stated policy.

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Why It Matters

Türkiye is set to host COP31, the 2026 UN climate conference, in Antalya, with a Turkish minister as COP president. The arrangement was announced at COP30 in Belém in November 2025 as a compromise with Australia. Ankara has paired the role with its signature climate-related soft-power project, the Zero Waste initiative, and with a 2053 net-zero target, so COP31 is the first time Türkiye's climate record and its climate diplomacy will be examined together on a global stage.

This guide states only widely documented facts. Where details are procedural or may still change, such as exact programme and agenda items, readers should check the UNFCCC secretariat and the host government's official COP31 channels.

Background

How COP hosting works

UN climate conferences (Conferences of the Parties, or COPs) rotate among the UN regional groups. COP31 fell to the Western European and Others Group (WEOG), and the host must be agreed by consensus. Both Türkiye (offering Antalya) and Australia (offering Adelaide) put themselves forward, and neither could be chosen without the other's consent. The deadlock was resolved at COP30 in Belém, Brazil, in November 2025.

The compromise

As publicly announced at COP30:

  • Venue and host: Türkiye hosts COP31 in Antalya. The conference is scheduled for November 2026 (the announced dates are 9–20 November).
  • Presidency: Murat Kurum, Türkiye's Minister of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change, serves as COP31 President.
  • Australia's role: Australia holds a newly created role, President of Negotiations, led by Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen, covering the negotiating process.
  • Pacific link: A pre-COP meeting is planned in the Pacific region, reflecting Pacific states' interest in the process.

This split of responsibilities is unusual. COP presidents normally both host and chair the negotiations, so how the two roles interact in practice is one of the things to watch.

Key dates in Türkiye's climate and Zero Waste path

Date Development
1992 / 2001 UNFCCC adopted; Türkiye joins in 2004 as an Annex I party. COP7 (Marrakesh, 2001) recognizes its 'special circumstances'
2015 Paris Agreement adopted; Türkiye submits an INDC of up to 21% below business-as-usual by 2030
2017 Zero Waste project launched under the patronage of Emine Erdoğan
2019 Zero Waste Regulation introduced in Türkiye; Zero Waste Good Will Group established at the UN
2020 UN High-Level Advisory Board on Zero Waste launched
Sept–Oct 2021 Net-zero 2053 target announced; Grand National Assembly (TBMM) approves Paris ratification
Nov 2021 Paris Agreement enters into force for Türkiye
2022 Climate Council convened; UN General Assembly adopts the International Day of Zero Waste resolution (14 Dec)
2023 First International Day of Zero Waste (30 March); updated NDC submitted
2025 Climate Law adopted by TBMM (July); COP31 arrangement announced at COP30 (November)

What Zero Waste is

Zero Waste is a waste-prevention and resource-efficiency policy framework: reducing waste at source, expanding separate collection and recycling, and building circular-economy practices. In Türkiye it has been implemented through national regulation, municipal and school programmes, and a digital information system run with the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. Internationally, the UN General Assembly's resolution (A/RES/77/161), proposed by Türkiye and co-sponsored by well over 100 member states, established 30 March as the International Day of Zero Waste, with UNEP and UN-Habitat facilitating observance.

Key Players & Positions

The UNFCCC secretariat and UN system

The UNFCCC secretariat, headed by Executive Secretary Simon Stiell, treats the host decision as a matter for Parties and focuses on delivery of the Paris Agreement's cycle: new national targets (NDCs), adaptation, and finance. The UN Secretary-General's office has publicly welcomed Zero Waste advocacy through the High-Level Advisory Board, although waste is not itself a formal negotiating track under the UNFCCC.

Australia and Pacific Island states

Australia's government has stated that its President of Negotiations role is meant to ensure Pacific voices and priorities are central, including climate finance, adaptation and sea-level rise. Pacific governments have long argued that the Pacific, as the most exposed region, deserves visible prominence in the process. Australia's own domestic emissions and fossil fuel exports have drawn criticism from civil society, which is a separate matter from its COP role.

The European Union and other parties

The EU has set a 2040 emissions-reduction goal of 90% (with certain flexibilities) as its contribution to the Paris cycle, and tends to press other large and middle-income emitters for stronger near-term targets and fossil fuel transition language. Brazil, as COP30 host, has pushed for implementation and 'roadmaps' for transition away from fossil fuels and deforestation. Many developing countries stress the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and demand predictable climate finance from developed countries.

Civil society and independent trackers

Non-governmental analysts, including the Climate Action Tracker, have rated Türkiye's NDC and policy trajectory as insufficient for a 1.5°C pathway, pointing to continued coal in the power mix and a 2053 net-zero date that is later than the 2050 targets of the EU and many OECD members. Turkish officials respond that the target reflects national circumstances, rapid growth in renewables, and the absence of dedicated climate finance.

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Türkiye's Position

According to the Presidency of the Republic of Türkiye and the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change, Ankara's approach rests on the following points.

  • Net-zero by 2053 and a green-development framing. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced the 2053 target in 2021, tying it to a 'green growth' model and the Türkiye Climate Council process. The Ministry's long-term climate strategy and the updated 2023 NDC (up to 41% below business-as-usual by 2030, peak no later than 2038) implement it. The July 2025 Climate Law gives the target a statutory basis and creates the legal framework for an emissions trading system.
  • Paris ratification on the basis of 'special circumstances'. Ankara argues that, although it is listed in UNFCCC Annex I, it is not in Annex II (the group with financing obligations) and was granted recognition of its special circumstances at COP7 in 2001 (Decision 26/CP.7). Türkiye says it should be able to access climate finance and technology support, and that its Paris commitments must be read in light of the Agreement's principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities (Article 2.2). This was the stated reason for its late ratification in October 2021.
  • Zero Waste as a global public good. According to the Presidency and the Ministry, Zero Waste links waste prevention with resource efficiency, emissions reduction and the circular economy, and Türkiye presents it as a practical, low-cost and scalable model for countries at all income levels. Its UN recognition (the International Day of Zero Waste, the High-Level Advisory Board) is cited as evidence that the model has international legitimacy.
  • Hosting as inclusive, multilateral diplomacy. Ankara describes COP31 hosting as a chance to act as a bridge between developed and developing countries, in line with its broader emphasis on inclusive global governance (see The World Is Bigger Than Five). Turkish officials say that the host's priorities will include Zero Waste, resilience, and fair finance, in cooperation with Australia and the Pacific.
  • Environmental protection extends to the seas. The Ministry points to marine protection steps within the Marine Spatial Planning framework, including the Finike Marine Protected Area, as part of Türkiye's environmental agenda; see Türkiye's Marine Spatial Planning and the 2025 IOC-UNESCO Registration.

Note: these are Ankara's stated positions as attributed to its official sources. Independent assessments are summarized in the sections above and below.

Source Comparison

Issue International and independent sources Turkish official sources
COP31 host deal Often described as a deadlock resolved by compromise, with questions over the unusual split between host and negotiations lead Presented as a successful consensus that recognizes Türkiye's hosting role and the Presidency held by the Minister
Net-zero 2053 Welcomed as a commitment, but criticized as later than 2050 and insufficiently backed by near-term measures Described as realistic given national circumstances, growth and the energy transition underway
NDC ambition Climate Action Tracker and similar analysts rate it as insufficient for 1.5°C Frames the 2023 update as a major strengthening over the 2015 INDC, with 2038 peak and 41% reduction
Coal and energy Highlights continued coal generation and fossil fuel subsidies Highlights the growth in renewable capacity and the scale of ongoing investment
Zero Waste Seen as a positive and well-publicized initiative, though waste is a peripheral element of the UNFCCC's core negotiations Presented as a flagship contribution that merits mainstream status in climate diplomacy
Finance Developed countries are urged to meet finance commitments to the most vulnerable Argues for access to finance and technology for Türkiye as a country with special circumstances

For how this site separates documented facts from attributed positions, see Editorial Principles.

  • COP (Conference of the Parties): The UNFCCC's annual decision-making body. COP31 is the 31st session.
  • NDC (Nationally Determined Contribution): A country's own climate target under the Paris Agreement, updated every five years.
  • Net zero: Balancing remaining greenhouse gas emissions with removals so that net emissions equal zero.
  • Annex I / Annex II: UNFCCC country lists. Annex I covers industrialized countries and economies in transition; Annex II covers those with financial obligations to developing countries. Türkiye is in Annex I but not Annex II.
  • CBDR-RC: Common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities, the Convention's equity principle.
  • Zero Waste: A policy framework for preventing waste and circulating materials, recognized by the UN through the International Day of Zero Waste.
  • President of Negotiations: The role assigned to Australia under the COP31 arrangement, separate from the COP31 Presidency held by Türkiye.

Related guides:

The State Papers presents global affairs with a dedicated perspective from Türkiye. Sections marked 'Türkiye's Position' reflect official Turkish policy as stated by Turkish government sources.

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Frequently asked questions

Where and when will COP31 take place?

COP31 is set to be hosted by Türkiye in Antalya, with the announced dates being 9–20 November 2026. The arrangement was agreed at COP30 in Belém in November 2025. Readers should confirm the final schedule with the UNFCCC secretariat.

Who presides over COP31 if Türkiye hosts and Australia leads negotiations?

Türkiye holds the COP31 Presidency, exercised by Murat Kurum, the Minister of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. Australia, through Minister Chris Bowen, holds a newly created President of Negotiations role covering the negotiating process. A pre-COP is planned in the Pacific.

What is the Zero Waste initiative and does it have UN recognition?

Zero Waste is a framework for preventing waste and building circular resource use, launched in Türkiye in 2017 under the patronage of Emine Erdoğan. The UN General Assembly adopted a resolution on 14 December 2022 establishing 30 March as the International Day of Zero Waste, and a UN High-Level Advisory Board on Zero Waste was set up in 2020.

What is Türkiye's net-zero target and when did it join the Paris Agreement?

Türkiye announced a 2053 net-zero target in 2021 and its parliament approved Paris ratification in October 2021, with the Agreement entering into force for Türkiye in November 2021. It was the last G20 member to ratify. Its updated 2023 NDC aims for up to 41% below business-as-usual by 2030.

Why do some analysts criticize Türkiye's climate policy?

Independent trackers such as the Climate Action Tracker rate Türkiye's targets as insufficient for the 1.5°C goal, citing coal use and a later net-zero date than the EU. Turkish officials respond that its targets reflect national circumstances and its special-circumstances status under the UNFCCC, and point to renewables growth and the 2025 Climate Law.

Perspective & Editorial Transparency Note

The State Papers presents global and regional affairs with a dedicated perspective from Türkiye. Sections marked 'Türkiye's Position' reflect official Turkish policy and legal doctrines as stated by Turkish primary sources.

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